I said it back in January.. the American election is proving hard to predict.
And this week goes to show just how pundits, polls, focus groups and any prediction of any kind can be wrong.
Does anyone fancy predicting what's going to happen in the next 24/48 hours?
Is McCain going to turn up to the debate? Will the debate get called off? What happens if Obama is the only one to turn up?
It's exciting but also terrifying to see these kinds of games being played with an election.
It could never happen here. (Could it?)
Yes , very much 'too close to call' at the moment at least ;
Hypothetically , if you were offered a £1,000 'charity bet' for the charity of your choice , and if Obama and McCain were both 'even money' chances and you had to back one of them to win , which would you now choose ?
Very difficult I know ; I can imagine that some white folk may be reluctant to vote for Obabma even if they've told pollsters they will ,
But equally that many younger voters may find it hard to vote for 72 y.o McCain , who's also associated to some degree with Bush , and I'm coming round to thinking that Obama should be the favourite . . .
On the other hand , the 'in power' republicans , who 'stole' the 2000 election , may have a few 'dirty tricks' up their sleeves . . .
~ Martin . - x - .